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Standards Committee of the IEEE Reliability 20 Constant error rate is considered together with the implicit assumptions.. The manual could not even assess different load conditions Jais et al 2013 Because the manual focused mainly on component-level analysis it could only address a fraction of the system total error rates.. Like the MIL-HDBK-217 these methods use a form of constant error model: they do not take into account actual error modes or mechanisms.

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However the results described in Table D-7 appear to suggest that manually based reliability prediction techniques either arbi ily underestimate or overestimate MTBF for a system under field conditions.. This is crucial for the interpretation of both reliability predictions and future design.. It sums up the error rates for each type of connection multiplied by the number and adds the total pairing speed to the sum of the error rates for the connected components.

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For details see Asher and Feingold 1984 Montgomery and Runger 1994 Shetty et al.. When the coefficient of the unknown category is significantly lower than the next lower category or higher.. Components such as insulated gate bipolar transistors and niobium capacitors widely used today in electronic systems were not included in the latest MIL-HDBK-217 version.

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The continued use of MIL-HDBK-217 or some of its adaptations can be devastating as it breaks down bad technical methods while affecting the growth in the reliability of electronic products.. Therefore these methods only apply in cases where systems or components have relatively constant error rates.. As the next higher category the factor can not be quantified using available data and additional data is needed before the factor can be fully assessed.. One of the biggest disadvantages of the MIL-HDBK-217 was that the forecasts were in contrast to simple heuristics-based design principles and error physics.. However there are recognized methods for solving these problems and research suggests promising improvements.

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